Jockey: John Velazquez Post Position: 15 out of 20 Morning-Line Odds: 15-1 Race RecordsToday with the Kentucky Derby, Outwork will have his 5th start. His first two were his maiden and an allowance race. His third start was the 8.5f Tampa Bay Derby, which he came second in. And most recently, he won the sloppy, 9f Wood Memorial. His preference is clearly as a frontrunner, and he does not seem to mind the mud. I expect that he'll break to the front again today, and probably maintain for a while, but he was awfully close to losing the Wood Memorial to Adventist, so I don't hold a lot of hope for his ability to last an additional quarter mile here. PedigreeUncle Mo x Nonna Mia, by Empire Maker. For information on Uncle Mo's pedigree, see my description of him for Nyquist's contender profile. Nonna Mia was a fast little sprinter during her career as a racer, during which time she started 7 times and won 2. But her sire, Empire Maker was an established veteran of the track, especially with longer distances. Empire Maker came second in the Kentucky Derby, but first in the Belmont. His sire is Unbirdled, son of Fappiano. Nonna Mia's dam's side is also solid: her damsire is Holy Bull. The only inbreeding Outwork has in his 5 generations are two instances of Northern Dancer, one on each side. ConformationThis is the best picture available for Outwork. He's a tall horse, clearly. He has huge hindquarters and what looks to be a good cannon:forearm ratio. I like how solid his hooves are. What's unclear here is his back and his hind legs.
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About Gallant VixenNew lawyer with a degree in equine studies and a penchant for handicapping. Archives
May 2020
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